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ENSO, rainfall and temperature influences on extreme population declines among African savanna ungulates

Climatic variation associated with the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and El Nin˜o- Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has a widespread influence on the population dynamics of many organisms worldwide. While previous analyses have related the dynamics of northern ungulates to the NAO, there has been no comparable assessment for the species rich assemblages of tropical and subtropical Africa. Census records for 11 ungulate species in South Africa’s Kruger National Park over 1977–96 reveal severe population declines by seven species, which were inadequately

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